Win/Win/Lose in the South Caucasus

Win/Win/Lose in the South Caucasus


Remarkably, though, the dissolution of Artsakh coincided with a renewed commitment by Yerevan and Baku to peace: the two sides issued a joint declaration in December 2023 calling for lasting peace, prisoners of war were exchanged between the two sides, and a process for the return of the displaced to both countries was put on the table. Diplomatic Relations: the TRIPP and the broader Trump peace agenda reshape the diplomatic landscape of the South Caucasus by providing an economic peace with benefits on all sides - the first non-zero-sum game in the South Caucasus since at least the end of the Soviet Union. Above all else, Washington cannot let Nikol Pashinyan appear to be a lone voice shouting in the wilderness to Armenian voters - and to the Armenian diaspora in the U.S. Making the case for peace and prosperity on their merits should be sufficient, but given the bitter recent history of the region, and the justifiably high level of concern among Armenians about the risks involved, additional levels of reassurance are warranted.

Author: December 16, 2025


Published at: 2025-12-16 00:00:00

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