The report points at this dynamic, referencing the rise of "mercenaries and pseudo-governments" and the exploitation of scarce resources by serious and organised crime, but frames it as a risk confined to already-fragile regions of the global south. The cascades the report describes - food system shock, infrastructure pressure, political radicalisation, geopolitical escalation - do not wait for governments to feel ready to discuss them; they are already unfolding in the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, in NHS waiting rooms, in food bank queues, and in the polling data for insurgent parties. What it does not say - and no government appears willing to say - is that the window for preparation is not infinite, and that managing the optics of ecological risk is not the same as managing the risk itself.
Author: Theory_of_Change
Published at: 2026-04-05 20:59:52
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