The market for a ceasefire by April 7 shows declining confidence, with odds dropping from 26% to 8.5% in a week. The largest drop is in the April 30 market, which fell 12 points to 39.5% YES. The biggest single move was a 4-point spike in the April 30 market at 10:56 AM, likely reacting to new military developments.
Author: Estefano Gomez
Published at: 2026-04-01 22:03:53
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