A trader made more than $436,000 on a prediction market by appearing to anticipate former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's capture by U.S. forces last weekend, raising questions about the timing of the bet and the integrity of such online futures trading platforms. Three additional bets were made via the same Polymarket account: a $1,000 wager on the U.S. invading Venezuela by January 31; a $250 wager that Mr. Trump would invoke the War Powers Act against Venezuela by January 31; and a $146 wager that U.S. forces would land in Venezuela by the end of the month. "Obviously, you need to curate them and you need to be really clear and stringent on where the line is drawn and, like, sort of ethics, and we spend a lot of time on that.
Author: Megan Cerullo
Published at: 2026-01-05 23:05:03
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