"You have an Iranian government that feels that its back is against the wall and we can't rule out the possibility that someone within the system will reach out to the US and try to find an off ramp," said Senior Iran analyst with the International Crisis Group, Naysan Rafati. "Now, in the case of Iran, the starting point is very bad for the theocracy, mindful of how unpopular it is," he added, "but nevertheless, the more innocent people are being killed, the more likely it is that we're going to see that rallying around the flag." "Even a battered regime may still be able to win that fight, simply because the opposition does not seem to be particularly well organised as a militia and does not seem to have access to the level of weaponry that would be required to launch an overthrow.
Author: Yvonne Murray
Published at: 2026-03-02 22:53:23
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